Fwd: The biggest threat to America is itself



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From: Nicholas Kristof <nytdirect@nytimes.com>
Date: Wed, Jun 23, 2021 at 8:00 PM
Subject: The biggest threat to America is itself
To: <trrytrvrs@gmail.com>


I fear we're sliding toward mediocrity.
Erin Kirkland for The New York Times
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By Nicholas Kristof

Opinion Columnist

"America is back" became President Biden's refrain on his European trip this month, and in a narrow sense it is.

A Pew Research Center survey found that 75 percent of those polled in a dozen countries expressed "confidence in the U.S. president to do the right thing," compared to 17 percent a year ago. Yet in a larger sense, America is not back. In some respects, we are sliding toward mediocrity — and that's the topic of my column today.

Greeks have higher high school graduation rates. Chileans live longer. Fifteen-year-olds in Russia, Poland, Latvia and many other countries are better at math than their American counterparts — perhaps a metric for where nations will stand in a generation or two.

As for reading, one-fifth of American 15-year-olds can't read at the level expected of a 10-year-old. How are those millions of Americans going to compete in a globalized economy? As I see it, the greatest threat to America's future is less a surging China or a rogue Russia than it is our underperformance at home. Please read!

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When a Political Party Comes Out Against Voting Rights …

It's remarkable to see every single Republican in the Senate — every last one! — oppose voting rights legislation, even as Republicans in many states are trying to impede people of color from voting.

My own take is that the state-level Republican crackdown on voting may backfire for two reasons: First, the G.O.P. increasingly is made up of members without a college degree who may not try all that hard to vote themselves; and, second, the perception that Republicans are trying to block people of color from voting may galvanize them to vote. Over the last decade, apathy has been a greater factor than voter suppression in reducing turnout, and this could outrage people out of their apathy. So I'm not so sure that the voting obstacles will work as Republicans hope.

But another element of the Republican campaign is to make it easier for Republican officials in red states to simply overturn voting results that they don't like. That truly is scary and undermines the legitimacy of America's political system.

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So What About Eliminating the Filibuster?

That's the progressive solution to problems like the collapse of the voting rights bill. But this "solution" suffers the same problem as the voting rights bill itself: It just doesn't have the votes.

My own take is that we should get rid of the filibuster, simply because it reduces accountability. It's better, I think, to have less paralysis and to let a dominant political party get things done, one way or the other. I recognize that I will disapprove of those things when Republicans are in power, but then democracy swings into action and voters will (I hope) hold officials accountable. But preventing either party from doing anything controversial, except through budget reconciliation, doesn't seem a path either to effective governance or to accountability.

I do wonder if the holdout Democrats will, after a series of Republican filibusters, be willing to curb the filibuster by requiring senators to speak continuously or by taking up Tom Harkin's suggestion in The Washington Post that the number of votes for cloture (to end debate) should steadily drop, so that the legislative process is slowed but not completely blocked.

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Iran's New President Hardens His Hard Line

Iran "elected" an ultraconservative new president, Ebrahim Raisi, after the authorities removed all other plausible candidates. Raisi promptly said that he would not meet with President Biden and that Iran's position on ballistic missiles is not negotiable.

All this is a bad sign for Iran in the short term and for the prospects of a new nuclear agreement. But, more troubling, it's also a bad sign for Iran in the long run. The real leader of Iran is not the president but the supreme leader, presently Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. There's not much prospect for change as long as Khamenei is in charge, but he is 82 and is said to have health problems, so the best hope has been that his replacement would be more open-minded. Unfortunately, Raisi is a favorite of Khamenei, and Raisi is probably now being groomed to succeed Khamenei as supreme leader. That would be awful.

Iran's journey underscores how much of a difference individual leaders makes. Ayatollah Khomeini's planned successor was Ayatollah Montazeri, who was more liberal (he once told me that the Iranian revolution of 1979 had been a mistake). I think Montazeri would have taken Iran in a more moderate and conciliatory direction. But months before Khomeini died, he replaced Montazeri as successor with Khamenei, who has rigidly pursued a hard-line course and now seems determined to hand the helm to someone just as reactionary.

Is America No. 1? Or No. 28?

Back to my column: We Americans repeat the mantra that "we're No. 1," even though the latest Social Progress Index, a measure of global well-being, ranked the United States No. 28. Even worse, the United States was one of only three countries, out of 163, that went backward in well-being over the last decade.

Another assessment this month, the I.M.D. World Competitiveness Ranking 2021, put the United States No. 10 out of 64 economies. A similar forward-looking study from the World Bank ranks the United States No. 35 out of 174 countries.

So I think it's premature to say that "America is back." We have work to do — and passing national pre-K and child care would be a major step forward. Above all, we must face the reality that our greatest vulnerability is not what other countries do to us but what we have done to ourselves. Here's my column: Please read!

You can connect with me on Facebook, Twitter or Instagram. If you have friends who might enjoy this newsletter, please forward this email or tell them they can sign up here. If you're looking for more, check out our recent book here. Feedback and suggestions welcome at kristof-newsletter@nytimes.com.

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